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Editorial of the Day (30th May): The End of Unipolarity

Context:

  • Critics argued that the U.S. exhibits a double standard by condemning Russian attacks in Ukraine but not Israeli actions in Gaza.
  • However, the U.S. approach to both conflicts has been similar, favouring militarization over negotiations and providing arms, funding, and diplomatic support to Ukraine and Israel.
  • Both conflicts have stagnated, suggesting that neither will achieve their stated goals of total victory or the collapse of their adversaries.

Inadequacy of Traditional Political Narratives

  • Conflicting Narratives: Traditional narratives fail to capture the complexity of the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, with accusations and counter-accusations obscuring the underlying dynamics.
  • Similar US Approach: The US adopts a consistent strategy of globalisation in both conflicts, despite their differing histories and geopolitical contexts.

The Role of Globalization and Regionalization

  • Paradoxes of Globalisation: The US’s attempt to globalise the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza inadvertently leads to increased regionalization.
  • Regional Focus: Russia and Hamas prioritise regional objectives, ignoring broader global considerations.
  • Divided Global Response: Countries outside the US-led coalition view these conflicts through a regional lens, further solidifying their local character.

The Emergence of Neutrality in Geopolitics

  • Shifting Alliances: The resurgence of neutrality in geopolitics is evident in the actions of countries like Turkey, who maintain relationships with both sides of the conflict.
  • New Geopolitical Landscape: This neutrality challenges the traditional binary alliances of the Cold War era.
  • Turkish Example: Turkey’s engagement with both NATO and Russia, along with its nuanced stance on Israel, exemplifies this new geopolitical approach.

The Regionalization of International Conflict

  • Regional Containment: Calls for ceasefires and neutrality highlight the regional nature of these conflicts and the potential for containment.
  • Challenge to US Dominance: This regionalization challenges the US’s unipolar dominance and necessitates adaptation to new local orders.
  • Undermining the Abraham Accords: The regional focus undermines the Abraham Accords and the US’s attempts to maintain global control.

The Collapse of Global Politics

  • Regionalization vs. Globalisation: The end of the Cold War did not lead to a new era of global politics but rather a fragmented regional landscape.
  • Failed US Strategy: Attempts to re-globalize politics through military intervention have proven ineffective, revealing the limitations of US hegemony.
  • New Challenges: The US must now confront the challenges posed by a regionalized world order, adapting its strategies to maintain relevance in the 21st century.

The Future of the International Order

  • Regional Balance of Power: The future of the international order may lie in establishing a balance of power among regions and middle powers.
  • Moving Beyond Unipolarity: This new order would acknowledge the complex and localised nature of contemporary geopolitics, moving beyond the traditional frameworks of the Cold War and unipolar dominance.
  • Complex Path to Peace: While regionalization may offer a path away from global conflict, it does not guarantee peace, necessitating new approaches to international relations and diplomacy.

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