Table of Contents
In a dramatic turn of events, the Indian stock market witnessed a significant downturn as both the Sensex and Nifty experienced sharp declines. The Sensex fell by over 2,500 points, closing at 78,636.37, while the Nifty50 dropped by 698.70 points to settle at 24,019. This crash has resulted in a massive erosion of investor wealth, with the market valuation plummeting from Rs 457.16 lakh crore to Rs 443.29 lakh crore, marking a decline of over Rs 18 lakh crore.
Sensex Falls Over 2,500 Points and Nifty Crashes
The Sensex and Nifty plunged sharply amid global market fears of a potential US recession. The Sensex fell by 2,345 points to 78,636.37, and the Nifty50 dropped by 698.70 points to 24,019. Investor wealth declined by over Rs 18 lakh crore, with market valuation dropping from Rs 457.16 lakh crore to Rs 443.29 lakh crore. Key factors included disappointing US job data, escalating Middle East tensions, and the unwinding of the Yen carry trade. Experts advise investors to trade cautiously and monitor global trends before making decisions.
Key Factors Behind the Market Crash
US Job Data and Economic Concerns
Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, pointed out that disappointing US job data played a crucial role in triggering the global sell-off. The decline in job creation in July, coupled with a sharp rise in the US unemployment rate to 4.3%, has raised concerns about the stability of the US economy. These developments have dampened hopes of a soft landing for the US economy, leading to heightened fears of a recession.
Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East
The escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have added to the market’s woes. Investors are wary of the potential economic fallout from these tensions, which could further destabilize the already fragile global economic environment. The uncertainty surrounding these geopolitical developments has contributed to increased market volatility.
Unwinding of the Yen Carry Trade
The unwinding of the Yen carry trade has had a significant impact on the Japanese market, with the Nikkei index crashing by over 4%. This development has sent shockwaves through global markets, including India. The Yen carry trade, a popular investment strategy, involves borrowing in Yen to invest in higher-yielding assets. The unwinding of these positions has led to a substantial sell-off in Japanese equities, further exacerbating global market volatility.
High Valuations in Indian Markets
Dr. VK Vijayakumar also highlighted that valuations in Indian markets, particularly in the mid and smallcap segments, remain high. These elevated valuations have been driven primarily by sustained liquidity flows. Overvalued sectors such as Defence and Railways are now facing pressure, contributing to the overall market decline. Investors are advised to exercise caution and avoid rushing into buying opportunities during this correction.
Stock Market Records Single Biggest Fall in Over 4 Years
In an unprecedented market crash, the Sensex plunged 6.1% to 71,900 points, while the Nifty fell 6.2% to 21,824 points on June 4 2024. This dramatic downturn marked the largest single-day percentage drop since March 2020, leading to a massive loss of approximately Rs 45 lakh crore in the total market value of companies.
- Market Plunge: Sensex and Nifty plummeted over 6%, marking the largest single-day percentage drop since March 2020.
- Massive Loss: Around Rs 45 lakh crore wiped out from the total market value of companies.
- Election Uncertainty: Early vote counting trends dashed hopes of a landslide victory for the ruling BJP alliance.
- Heightened Volatility: Index surged to 29.79 points, the highest level since March 2022.
- Sector-wide Impact: Banking (-7.8%), realty (-9.1%), and infrastructure (-10.5%) shares bore the brunt.
- Adani Group Hit: Adani Enterprises and Adani Ports plunged 19% each, with other Adani stocks dropping 9-19%.
- Expert Analysis: Market reacted to exit polls’ inflated expectations, leading to fear and disappointment among investors.
- Future Outlook: Expectations of continued volatility until there’s clarity on government formation and policies.
Lok Sabha Election Result 2024 Live Update
Reasons Behind Recent Fall in Stock Market
The recent fall in the Indian stock market can be attributed to several factors:
- Election Uncertainty: The tighter-than-expected Lok Sabha race has injected uncertainty into the market. Concerns about the potential outcome of the election and its impact on government policies have led to investor caution.
- Government Policy Concerns: There are fears that a third term for the current government might not be as decisive as initially anticipated. This has raised concerns about the continuity and effectiveness of pro-business and pro-industrial policies, which have been key drivers of market growth.
- Profit Booking: Ahead of the election results, investors are engaging in profit booking, taking gains off the table to reduce risk exposure in the face of uncertainty.
- Foreign Investor Selling: Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have been offloading equities, adding to the selling pressure in the market. This could be due to global factors, domestic concerns, or portfolio rebalancing.
- Lower Voter Turnout: A dip in voter turnout in some regions has raised questions about potential electoral outcomes, adding to market jitters.
- Global Cues: While there may not be major negative global cues, global market conditions can influence investor sentiment in the Indian market.
- Technical Factors: India VIX, which reflects market volatility and sentiment, has hit a fresh 52-week high, indicating heightened uncertainty among traders and investors.
- Corporate Earnings: Concerns about corporate earnings performance and future forecasts may also be contributing to the market’s downward trend.
- Valuation Concerns: Some analysts believe that the market may have been trading at relatively high valuations, leading to a correction as investors reassess risk-return dynamics.
About Stock Market
-
Capital: Companies can raise money by selling ownership stakes, called shares of stock, to investors.
-
Investment income: Investors benefit as their shares become more valuable as companies use the money to grow and expand their businesses.
The terms “share market” and “stock market” are often used interchangeably. Stock markets can be classified into two parts: primary markets and secondary markets. An example of a primary market is an Initial Public Offering (IPO), when a company registers itself for the first time at the stock exchange to raise funds through shares.
How Does Stock Market Work?
- Investors open a demat or brokerage account to enter the stock market.
- Investors contact a broker or exchange to buy or sell securities.
- The broker passes the buy order to the stock exchange, which searches for a sell order for the same share.
- Once a buyer and seller are found, they agree on a price to finalize the transaction.
- The stock exchange confirms the order and communicates this to the broker, who then passes the message on to the investor.
Types of Stock Market in India
- Primary market: For new securities
- Secondary market: For existing securities
- Equity market: For stocks
- Derivatives market: For financial contracts based on underlying assets
Stock Exchange | Description |
---|---|
BSE | Established in 1875, one of India’s oldest and largest stock exchanges. Responsible for listing, delisting, and overseeing trading activities. |
NSE | India’s leading stock exchange in terms of market capitalization. Operates electronically and fully automated. |
Calcutta Stock Exchange | Established in 1908, it is the second-largest stock exchange in South Asia. |
India International Exchange | India’s first international stock exchange, inaugurated in January 2017. A subsidiary of BSE, located at IFSC, GIFT City, Gujarat. |
NSE IFSC | A subsidiary of the National Stock Exchange, established to expand India’s financial market and increase capital. |