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Context: As the war in Ukraine enters its third year, there is a growing momentum for peace diplomacy, both Moscow and Kyiv seem increasingly incentivised to end the conflict.
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- Russian President Vladimir Putin welcomed peace efforts from Brazil, China, and India, while Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also seeks support from leaders of the Global South.
India’s Potential Role in Peace Efforts
India has consistently called for peace and diplomacy since the Russian invasion in February 2022. However, it must recognise the limitations of its role:
- India supports dialogue but lacks the capability to independently produce peace.
- A future peace agreement in Ukraine will likely be driven by a new grand European bargain between Washington and Moscow, with the US playing a critical role.
Indian Perspective on Geopolitical Consequences
India’s priority is managing the geopolitical consequences of the war:
- Major wars often lead to regional and global restructuring.
- A new peace arrangement between Russia and the West would be favourable for India, allowing it to focus on economic growth and security in Asia.
- The war has impacted India’s economic and security policies, making the restoration of peace in Europe critical for Delhi’s strategic interests.