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First Ice Free Day in Arctic could occur before 2030

Key Findings of the Study

Sea Ice Decline Rate

  • Over the past 40 years, Arctic sea ice extent has been shrinking at a rate of6% per decade, an unprecedented decline in the last 1,500 years (MIT Climate Portal, 2023).

Key Contributors to Arctic Warming

  • Alarming GHG Levels: In 2023, global concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane,and nitrous oxide reached record highs (World Meteorological Organization).
  • Arctic Warming Rate: The Arctic is warming 4 times faster than the global average, threatening ecosystems, infrastructure and livelihoods.

Consequences of an Ice-Free Arctic

Climate Change Acceleration

  • Albedo Effect: Loss of reflective sea ice will increase solar energy absorption by darker ocean surfaces, further warming the Arctic. This will lead to more extreme weather events in mid-latitudes & Intensified global warming.

Rising Sea Levels

  • Sea level rise is worsening: The global sea level has risen 1.5x faster in the past decade compared to the 1990s.
  • Greenland Ice Sheet: Complete melting could raise sea levels by 6 meters, endangering coastal communities globally.

Ecosystem and Biodiversity Threats

  • Loss of sea ice and melting permafrost will affect species such as polar bears, walruses, arctic foxes, snowy owls and reindeer.
  • Impacts on Arctic Communities: Infrastructure, livelihoods and traditional practices of indigenous Arctic peoples are under significant threat.
Arctic
  • It is a geographic region spreading around the North Pole.
  • It includes the northern parts of Canada, the United States, Russia, Finland, Sweden, Norway, Iceland and Greenland.

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